Bihar Chunav 2025 Opinion Poll shows NDA may secure majority with BJP gains, JDU decline, RJD and Congress weaken, while AIMIM, BSP and Jan Suraj get few seats.
Bihar Election 2025 Opinion Poll: NDA leads by a huge margin, JDU suffers a setback and Mahagathbandhan weakens
Bihar Chunav 2025 Opinion Poll
The Times Now-JVC Bihar Opinion Poll 2025 released ahead of the Bihar Assembly Elections 2025 has given a big indication in the state's politics. According to the survey, the NDA may get a clear majority and return to power. At the same time, the Grand Alliance (Mahagathbandhan Performance Bihar Chunav) seems to be lagging behind this time.
The survey estimates that the NDA may get 136 seats in the 243-seat assembly, while the RJD-Congress-Left alliance is expected to be reduced to only 75 seats. 122 seats are needed for a majority, so the NDA can easily come to power.
Performance of BJP and JDU: NDA Lead in Bihar Election 2025
In this opinion poll, BJP Seats in Bihar Election 2025 is expected to increase. This time, BJP has been shown to win 64 seats and lead in 17 seats. That is, the strength of the party can increase from 74 to 81 seats.
On the other hand, Nitish Kumar Party JDU Decline is clearly visible. JDU got 43 seats in 2020, but this time the survey is showing only 29 wins + 2 leads = 31 seats. That is, Chief Minister Nitish Kumar's party may get another setback.
RJD and Congress status: Mahagathbandhan Performance Bihar Chunav
RJD Seats in Bihar Election 2025 is expected to decrease. The Tejashwi Yadav-led party can get only 52 seats this time (37 sure wins and lead in 15). Whereas in 2020, RJD became the largest party and won 75 seats.
Congress Seats Bihar Election 2025 is also seeing a decline. Congress is expected to get only 10 seats (8 wins + 2 leads) this time. Last time Congress had won 19 seats.
The Left parties and other allies are expected to get a maximum of 13 seats.
Performance of other parties: AIMIM, BSP and Jan Suraj
Jan Suraj Party Bihar Election Prediction: 2 seats (contesting elections for the first time)
BSP Seats in Bihar Election 2025: 1 seat
Apart from this, a close contest has been predicted on about 26 seats.
Seat Prediction Bihar Election 2025: Region wise results
According to Bihar Election Survey Results Region Wise, a different picture is emerging in every area:
Tirhut Region Bihar Election Prediction (49 seats)
NDA: 35
Grand Alliance: 11
Close contest seats: 3
Seemanchal Region Election Results Survey (24 seats)
NDA: 10
Grand Alliance: 10
AIMIM: 3
Close contest seats: 1
Mithila Region Bihar Election 2025 (42 seats)
NDA: 31
Grand Alliance: 7
Jan Suraj: 1
Close contest seats: 3
Magadh Region Bihar Election Opinion Poll (50 seats)
Grand Alliance: 24
NDA: 21
Close contest seats: 5
Bhojpur Region Bihar Election 2025 (55 seats)
NDA: 24
Grand Alliance: 20
BSP: 1
Jan Suraj: 1
Close-favourite seats: 9
Ang Region Bihar Chunav 2025 Survey (23 seats)
NDA: 15
Grand Alliance: 3
Close-favourite seats: 5
Conclusion
The picture that has emerged from the Times Now JVC Bihar Opinion Poll 2025 shows that NDA vs Mahagathbandhan Bihar 2025 battle is tilting towards NDA with a clear lead. BJP seems to be getting stronger, while JDU's graph is continuously falling. RJD and Congress figures are also coming down. Small parties like AIMIM, BSP and Jan Suraj can also win some seats, but the decisive picture is in favor of NDA.
It will be interesting to see in the coming days whether these estimates of Bihar Election 2025 Opinion Poll turn into ground reality or there is a major reversal in the election results.
Vandana is an award-winning investigative journalist renowned for her extensive fieldwork and deep expertise in Indian Assembly Elections. With over a decade of hands-on reporting experience, she has traveled to the grassroots of every Indian state, engaging directly with voters, local leaders, election officers, and political analysts.
Vandana holds a postgraduate degree in Political Science and a specialized diploma in Election Reporting and Data Journalism. Her field investigations are known for their accuracy, depth, and human-centric approach, making her one of the most trusted voices in India's electoral journalism landscape.
She has reported from remote tribal regions to urban constituencies, covering every phase of assembly elections — from voter list preparation and ticket distribution to booth-level campaigning and final results. Her investigative reports have not only been published in leading national platforms but have also contributed to informed public discourse and policy discussions.
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