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As the Bihar Legislative Assembly elections draw near in October or November 2025, political activity is heating up. Election Live Result digs into the Bihar Election 2025 Opinion Polls to understand voter priorities, alliance trends, and which regions could play a key role on election day.
These Polls reveal the strength of parties, the sentiments of voters, and the increased presence of lesser players in the state.
Bihar Election 2025 Opinion Poll: NDA’s Clear Edge
The National Democratic Alliance (NDA), powered by the BJP and JD(U), looks set to keep control. According to the Bihar Election 2025 Opinion Poll:
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NDA could secure 136 seats in the 243-member Assembly.
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BJP may climb from 74 seats in 2020 to 81 seats.
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JD(U) risks a slide, dropping from 43 to 31 seats.
That gives NDA a safe majority above the 122-seat mark. It also signals the BJP strengthening within the alliance while JD(U)’s role shrinks.
Mahagathbandhan Faces Major Setbacks in Poll Projections
The opposition Grand Alliance is struggling to match the NDA’s momentum:
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Mahagathbandhan may fall to just 75 seats.
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RJD could drop from 75 seats in 2020 to 52 seats.
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Congress may decline further, from 19 to 10 seats.
Still, Tejashwi Yadav remains Bihar’s most popular choice for Chief Minister, outpacing Nitish Kumar in voter preference, even though his alliance looks weaker overall.
Key Regional Insights from Bihar Election 2025 Polls
The Bihar Election 2025 Opinion Poll highlights how sharply results differ across regions:
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Tirhut (49 seats): NDA ahead with 35, Mahagathbandhan at 11.
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Seemanchal (24 seats): Neck in neck, 10 each for NDA and Mahagathbandhan, with AIMIM likely 3.
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Mithila (42 seats): NDA leading with 31, Mahagathbandhan only 7.
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Magadh (50 seats): Mahagathbandhan leads 24, NDA close with 21.
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Bhojpur (55 seats): NDA 24, Mahagathbandhan 20 in a close race.
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Anga (23 seats): NDA strong at 15, Mahagathbandhan just 3.
These divisions highlight how local problems and caste dynamics produce distinct results in each belt, demonstrating why Bihar politics are never consistent.
The Growing Role of Smaller Political Parties in Bihar
Beyond the two big camps, smaller parties could shape close battles:
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Jan Suraaj, Prashant Kishor’s outfit, could grab 8.7% vote share and some seats.
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AIMIM may secure 3 seats.
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BSP might win 1 seat.
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Left and other parties together could add 13 seats.
The new party Jan Suraaj may influence results in seats contested by NDA and Mahagathbandhan.
What Drives Bihar’s Voter Sentiment?
Polls reveal clear voter concerns:
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Unemployment tops the list, worrying over half of the respondents.
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Price rise and corruption also dominate.
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Young voters are favouring change, with 57% against the current government.
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Older voters show stronger support for the NDA.
The NDA gets support from upper castes, Scheduled Castes, and many OBCs. Muslims, Yadavs, and Scheduled Tribes, on the other hand, like the Mahagathbandhan.
It’s this mix of economics, identity, and leadership that shapes Bihar’s electoral mood.
Chief Minister Preferences
Who do voters want leading Bihar?
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Tejashwi Yadav tops the list at 33.5%.
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Nitish Kumar trails at 24%.
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Prashant Kishor is a new choice with 13.7% of the vote.
These numbers show that Tejashwi is becoming more popular, Nitish is losing his appeal, and Kishor is gaining ground.
What Does This Mean for Bihar’s Future?
The Bihar Election 2025 Opinion Polls show that the NDA will continue to be in charge, mostly because the BJP is becoming more popular. JJD(U) is losing its influence, while the Mahagathbandhan faces potential large losses, yet it can still rely on Tejashwi’s charisma. The rise of Jan Suraaj shows that people want something different, especially younger voters.
Last-minute changes can happen in the Bihar elections. Results may still be affected by turnout, campaigns, and caste.
Final Thoughts
As of now, the NDA looks favoured to hold Bihar, with the BJP at its strongest and Nitish Kumar’s party weaker. Mahagathbandhan is losing support, while Jan Suraaj is gaining popularity. The main concerns for voters in Bihar are jobs, costs, corruption, and caste issues.
Election Live Result will continue tracking the numbers and insights from the Bihar Election 2025 Opinion Poll as the state heads into a crucial contest.
FAQs
1. What does the opinion poll predict for Mahagathbandhan?
The alliance may drop to around 75 seats, with RJD and Congress losing ground.
2. How many seats could the BJP win according to the opinion poll?
It looks like the BJP will win about 81 seats, which will make it stronger within the NDA.
3. What does the opinion poll predict for Mahagathbandhan?
The Bihar Election 2025 Opinion Poll suggests Mahagathbandhan could fall to about 75 seats.
4. Can the Bihar Election 2025 Opinion Poll results change before voting?
Yes, Bihar Election 2025 Opinion Poll outcomes can shift with turnout, campaigns, and last-minute changes.
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