Bihar Opinion Poll 2025: Nitish vs Tejashwi CM Race Analysis

Bihar Opinion Poll 2025 shows a close Nitish Kumar vs Tejashwi Yadav CM race. NDA vs Mahagathbandhan survey highlights shifting voter trends and public mood.

Published on 13 Sep 2025, 09:39 AM IST
By Vandana

Bihar Opinion Poll 2025: Nitish vs Tejashwi – Who does the public want as Chief Minister?

Bihar Opinion Poll 2025 (Nitish Kumar vs Tejashwi Yadav Opinion Poll): Bihar Assembly elections are to be held in November 2025. The survey that came about two months before the elections has further heated up the political atmosphere. It has become clear from the public opinion that the contest is very close and Nitish Kumar vs Tejashwi Yadav is being discussed the most in the race for the post of Chief Minister.

Bihar CM post survey: Who does the public want as leader?

According to the recent Bihar CM Candidate Survey 2025, Tejashwi Yadav has got 33.5% votes, making him the leader. At the same time, Nitish Kumar has got 24% votes. That is, at present Tejashwi is leading by about 10%.

  • Tejashwi Yadav – 33.5%

  • Nitish Kumar – 24%

  • Prashant Kishore – 13.7%

  • Chirag Paswan – 8.3%

  • Samrat Choudhary – 5.2%

These figures show that Tejashwi Yadav's popularity is steadily increasing in Bihar 2025, while Nitish Kumar's popularity survey shows that his hold is still strong, especially among women and senior voters.

NDA vs Grand Alliance: Who has the edge?

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In Bihar Election Opinion Poll 2025, when people were asked who they would vote for – NDA or Grand Alliance?

  • NDA got 36.2% support

  • Grand Alliance got 35.8% votes

  • Others got 12.8%

  • Not decided yet: 6.5%

That is, the public is slightly inclined towards NDA, but the contest is very close. It is clear that the NDA vs Mahagathbandhan Bihar 2025 election is going to be very interesting.

Voting Pattern: Issues vs Caste-Religion

This time the impact of issues is more visible in voting.

  • Will vote on development: 23.6%

  • Trust in Nitish Kumar's work: 20.1%

  • In the name of PM Modi: 13.7%

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    Looking at caste-religion: only 0.9%

This shows that this time in Bihar Chunav Survey Report 2025, the role of caste-religion is very less and voters are giving priority to development and work.

Anti-incumbency wave and evaluation of the current MLA

  • About 48% people are angry with the government (Anti-Incumbency Wave)

  • 27.1% people support the government

  • 53.5% people do not want to re-elect their current MLA

These figures show that the public wants change and this time a big upset is possible in the election environment.

Prashant Kishor and the challenge of new politics

The survey also revealed that Prashant Kishore is in third place with 13.7% votes in the Bihar Politics Survey. Although his influence is limited at the moment, his recognition is increasing among the youth and first-time voters.

Old surveys and trends

  • InkInsight Survey (April 2025): Tejashwi Yadav is the most preferred CM face among the youth (18–29 age group).

  • C-Voter Survey: Tejashwi's popularity fell slightly, but he remains at the top.

  • Mood of the Nation Poll: NDA benefits, but CM face is not clear.

What does the result say?

If we look at all the surveys so far, then in Bihar Opinion Poll 2025, the NDA alliance is definitely seeing a slight lead, but Tejashwi Yadav remains the first choice of the public in the race for the post of Chief Minister.

  • Tejashwi Yadav – Popular among youth and rural voters

  • Nitish Kumar – Trusted face among women and senior citizens

  • Prashant Kishore – Beginning of new politics, but limited impact

This time the election will not depend only on caste equations, but on development, leadership image and strength of alliance.

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Vandana

Award-Winning Investigative Journalist

Vandana is an award-winning investigative journalist renowned for her extensive fieldwork and deep expertise in Indian Assembly Elections. With over a decade of hands-on reporting experience, she has traveled to the grassroots of every Indian state, engaging directly with voters, local leaders, election officers, and political analysts. Vandana holds a postgraduate degree in Political Science and a specialized diploma in Election Reporting and Data Journalism. Her field investigations are known for their accuracy, depth, and human-centric approach, making her one of the most trusted voices in India's electoral journalism landscape. She has reported from remote tribal regions to urban constituencies, covering every phase of assembly elections — from voter list preparation and ticket distribution to booth-level campaigning and final results. Her investigative reports have not only been published in leading national platforms but have also contributed to informed public discourse and policy discussions.

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