Bihar Election 2025 Opinion Poll Result shows NDA in lead, Mahagathbandhan gaining ground, and Jan Suraj Party emerging as a new force. See latest seat survey updates.
As the bihar assembly election 2025 approaches, political activity has intensified. Every party is putting all its efforts into election preparations. This election is considered special because Prashant Kishore's Jan Suraj Party is contesting theBihar Assembly Election 2025 for the first time. Meanwhile, the latest Bihar Election 2025 Opinion Poll Results and surveys are revealing surprising figures.
Bihar Election 2025 Survey: Latest Seat Status
According to the most recent Bihar Election 2025 Survey, the overall seat count appears to be similar to that of 2020.
This survey reveals that while the NDA's position remains largely unchanged, the Grand Alliance appears to be gaining ground in some seats.
Purnia Equation
Purnia district has 24 seats. The Muslim population here is approximately 46% and the Scheduled Caste population is 14%. The latest survey suggests that the NDA is unlikely to suffer any losses here in 2025.
In 2020: NDA – 12 seats (36%), Grand Alliance – 7 seats (36%), Others – 5 seats (28%).
2025 Survey: Almost the same situation, but the Grand Alliance is projected to have a slight lead.
The Power of Jan Suraj in Bhojpur
The 22 seats in Bhojpur could see a major change this time.
In 2020: NDA – 2 seats (28%), Grand Alliance – 19 seats (40%), Others – 1 seat (32%).
2025 Survey: Jan Suraj is emerging as the strongest party this time, while the NDA's seats may increase, and the Grand Alliance appears to be lagging behind.
Political Equation of Saran
The contest is extremely tough in Saran's 24 seats. Both Muslims and Scheduled Castes constitute approximately 15% of the population.
In 2020: NDA – 9 seats, Grand Alliance – 15 seats.
2025 Survey: This time too, a close contest is seen between the two alliances, but Jan Suraj has established a strong hold on several seats.
Patna Situation
The contest is also interesting in the 21 seats of Patna district. Here, the Muslim population is 7% and the Scheduled Castes are 22%.
In 2020: NDA – 11 seats (39%), Grand Alliance – 10 seats (38%).
2025 Survey: The overall picture remains unchanged this time, but Jan Suraj is likely to lead to upsets in several seats.
Overall Picture
The latest Bihar Election 2025 Opinion Poll Results indicate that the situation is similar to that of 2020.
The NDA maintains its lead.
The Grand Alliance is ahead in some seats.
Jan Suraj has the potential to disrupt the electoral equation.
Vandana is an award-winning investigative journalist renowned for her extensive fieldwork and deep expertise in Indian Assembly Elections. With over a decade of hands-on reporting experience, she has traveled to the grassroots of every Indian state, engaging directly with voters, local leaders, election officers, and political analysts.
Vandana holds a postgraduate degree in Political Science and a specialized diploma in Election Reporting and Data Journalism. Her field investigations are known for their accuracy, depth, and human-centric approach, making her one of the most trusted voices in India's electoral journalism landscape.
She has reported from remote tribal regions to urban constituencies, covering every phase of assembly elections — from voter list preparation and ticket distribution to booth-level campaigning and final results. Her investigative reports have not only been published in leading national platforms but have also contributed to informed public discourse and policy discussions.
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